Nao Hibino vs Claire Liu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Hibino shows slightly better performance on second serve points, winning 39.02%, compared to Liu's 38.39%. Does this give Hibino an edge? It appears so, as this stat is strongly linked to match predictions.
• When it comes to returning games, Hibino also has a slight advantage, winning 50% of her opponents' second serve points, whereas Liu manages 49.08%.
• Under pressure, Liu has a marginally better record, saving 49.74% of breakpoints compared to Hibino's 49.29%. Will this be decisive? Not necessarily, but it's useful for real-time betting.
• Looking at overall match performance in the past year, Liu has a better win rate with 55.56%, whereas Hibino stands at 45.45%.
• Their best surfaces vary: Hibino excels on Hard courts with a 56% win rate, while Liu performs best on Clay with a 65% win rate. The upcoming match will be crucial in determining the surface advantage.
• Considering tournament levels, Liu has a better win record in lower-tier tournaments (> $10K) with 55.56%, compared to Hibino's 41.18%.
• Head-to-head, Hibino leads, having won the only previous match against Liu in straight sets on a Hard court, with neither player facing a tie-break or deciding set.
• Hibino has faced higher-ranked opponents (average rank 183.55) compared to Liu (average rank 306.63) over the past year, providing her with potentially tougher competition exposure.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Hibino has a higher success rate, winning 63% compared to Liu's 56% in the past year.
• Both players have nearly equal break point conversion rates, with Liu slightly ahead at 41.73% compared to Hibino's 40.84%, a minor advantage to keep in mind.

Editorial Prediction (August 13, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performances, Hibino demonstrates superior statistics primarily in second serve effectiveness and return game proficiency. Although Liu holds a slight edge in breakpoint conversions, Hibino's slight edge in several other key areas may prove more telling.

Both players have specialized surface strengths; however, Hibino's previous success against Liu on a Hard court, coupled with her extensive experience against higher-ranked opponents, suggests she has an advantage. Liu has a better win rate over the past year, but the differences are nuanced.

Overall, based on current trends and past performance, Nao Hibino is the more likely victor in their upcoming match.